Tilapia leads growth despite US tariff challenges

Brazil has achieved a significant milestone in its aquaculture sector, reaching a production volume of 1 million tons in 2025. This marks a 58.6% growth in the industry, with tilapia production surging by 148.2%, according to the 10th edition of the Brazilian Aquaculture Yearbook 2026.

Industry Growth and Challenges

The impressive growth underscores the strength and maturity of Brazilian fish farming, as highlighted by Francisco Medeiros, president of PEIXE BR, the Brazilian Association of Fish Farming. The sector has seen substantial gains in productivity, technology, and competitiveness over the past decade, positioning Brazil as a key player in the Americas.

However, the industry faced significant challenges in 2025, particularly due to the imposition of a 50% tariff by the United States in July. This tariff, introduced by President Donald Trump, heavily impacted Brazil's seafood exports, with the Brazilian fishing industry association (ABIPESCA) warning of severe repercussions. Jairo Gund, executive director of ABIPESCA, noted that 70% of Brazil's seafood exports were directed to North America, leading to a 28% decline in tilapia exports.

Market Implications

The recent Supreme Court decision to overturn Trump's IEEPA-based reciprocal tariffs offers a glimmer of hope for the Brazilian seafood sector. The reduction of tariffs to a 10-15% surcharge could significantly enhance the competitiveness of Brazilian products in the global market. This change is expected to alleviate some of the pressures faced by exporters and potentially restore some of the lost market share in North America.

As Brazil continues to advance its aquaculture capabilities, the industry remains focused on overcoming trade barriers and maintaining its growth trajectory. The developments in tariff policies will be crucial in shaping the future dynamics of Brazil's seafood exports.

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