Over 400,000 poultry culled; potential market impact debated

Germany is currently grappling with a severe outbreak of avian influenza (H5N1), leading to the culling of over 400,000 poultry, including laying hens, ducks, and turkeys. This widespread outbreak has affected all German states except Bremen, raising significant concerns within the poultry industry.

Background on the Outbreak

The current avian flu outbreak in Germany is described as dramatic by the Friedrich-Loeffler-Institute (FLI), which monitors animal health. The virus has spread rapidly across the country, necessitating immediate action to contain its impact. Recently, the first case in the current wave was confirmed in Vechta, a district known for its poultry production, resulting in the culling of approximately 14,000 turkeys. Neighbouring Cloppenburg has also implemented a 30-day restriction on turkey rearing in affected zones.

Market Implications

Despite the extensive culling, Hans-Peter Goldnick, President of the Central Association of the German Poultry Industry (ZDG), does not foresee immediate price hikes for poultry products. He believes the situation remains manageable, although he advocates for a nationwide indoor housing mandate to prevent further spread. Conversely, Robert Schmack, head of the Bavarian Poultry Industry Association, warns of potential significant increases in egg prices, possibly up to 50%, as the situation evolves.

Industry Response

The poultry industry is on high alert, with varying opinions on the outbreak's long-term impact. While some industry leaders call for stricter biosecurity measures, others are concerned about the economic repercussions, particularly in regions heavily reliant on poultry farming. The situation underscores the need for coordinated efforts to mitigate the outbreak's effects on both animal health and market stability.

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